UPDATED: SEPT 11, 2026 — Tracking another chance for some north swell next week. A nice fetch of stronger winds off the Carolinas will strengthen Tuesday/Wednesday as a low deepens along an old frontal boundary in the Atlantic. This one looks like a better scenario than the last, as it it stronger, has more north in it, and lasts longer. The only issue is the wind may come with the swell. That's still not 100% though, as the Euro keeps the wind lighter than the GFS which has it blasting onshore. Either way the models have been trending in the right direction for something rideable, and bigger than the last one, to make it down mid next week.
Daily surf forecast for the Palm Beaches and Treasure Coast:
FRIDAY11: Flat for PBC, knee/thigh high+ leftovers upcoast. Wind S 5-10kts.
WEEKEND12-13: Maybe some small windchop building. Barely rideable if anything. Saturday morning looks like the better bet if anything. Wind SE 10-15kts.
MONDAY14: Minimal. Wind S/SE 5-10kts.
TUESDAY15: Mainly flat. upcoast may see something start to show at the end of the day. Wind NE 10kts.
WEDNESDAY16: NE wind and waves pick up waist high, building to possibly chest high by the afternoon. Some drift as northeast winds will be breezy. Wind NE 15-20kts.
THURSDAY17: Waist to maybe chest high mid period swell with some wind on it still. More swell than chop so there could be some fun lines . Wind NE 10-12kts in the morning but turning east or even southeast in the afternoon.
FRIDAY18: Knee/waist high leftover mid period swell. Wind turning more southeast so it'll get crossed up, but shouldn't get too strong, around 10kts.
LONG RANGE FORECAST: We are at the peak of hurricane season and surprisingly there's still nothing on the radar for the next week. The GFS keeps stubbornly spinning something up in the Caribbean and bringing it over us but it's coming off of the central american Gyre, which the GFS has been known to do that sort of thing with every little spin coming off that gyre this time of year. If you remember we've had that several times in previous years so I'm not biting on it. The more practical and believable solution is what is Euro is showing in the long range. Which is a front making it half way down the state, stalling, and low pressure forming to our EAST, north of the Bahamas and moving away. This would be a much better scenario for us, as it would bring some good swell and not all the craziness.
Eventually the tropics will start to wake up again, and it's probably going to be more of the home grown-type activity in the gulf, or near the Bahamas as fronts come down and stall at the end of September and in October. El nino along with Saharan dust really did its thing on the season this year. The good news is we should make up for it over the winter where it will be much more active. Storm after storm in the heart of winter will keep waves going all season. It just may have a lot of VAS chop conditions that go with it too. Stay tuned.
Tides:
----------------------------------
Check and follow my social pages for updates!
Follow Twitter @SurfnWeatherman
Follow my Instagram @Surfnweatherman for current updates and live videos
Like my Facebook page James Wieland - Surfin Weatherman
SNAPCHAT: surfnweatherman
TikTok: @surfnweatherman
