UPDATED: SEPT 15, 2026 — Wave Rewind: Swell picked up at the end of the day in Northern PBC, but it took a lot later than expected.
There's a decent fetch of stronger winds behind a front that has stalled over us. The swell was a little late to get down here, but will be here Thursday morning. Bigger but windier upcoast and smaller with less wind to the south.
Daily surf forecast for the Palm Beaches and Treasure Coast:
THURSDAY17: Morning will be the peak time to get out. There should be more swell to it, especially Northern PBC northward which will take the brunt of the waves. Local winds will still be onshore but it should lighten up some, at least for PBC, the Treasure Coast north will still be blown out with stronger wind. Size and power biggest in the morning but should hold pretty decent through the day. Waist-chest central PBC, smaller south. Chest-shoulder high with some bigger sets at the standout spots northern PBC northward through the Treasure Coast. More swell than chop so there could be some fun lines and nuggets despite the wind. Wind NE 10-15kts in the morning but picking up and getting more blown out during the day. Drifty at the windiest spots.
FRIDAY18: Cleaning up more with just a light onshore wind. Waist/stomach high+ continuing mid-period NNE swell, semi-clean conditions with a lighter wind. Bigger upcoast but more wind on it. The wind may be turning more southeast for PBC so it'll get crossed up later in the day, but shouldn't get too strong, around 5-10kts.
WEEKEND19-20: Maybe a lingering bump leftover at the magnet spots Saturday upcoast before fading off and going flat on Sunday. Wind ESE 10kts.
LONG RANGE FORECAST: The NHC is highlighting an area east of Bermuda that will move west into a more favorable environment and could develop. The AI models seem to latch onto it but the operational global models aren't as enthusiastic. The GFS continues spinning something up in the Gulf, but now it's pushed later in time, which is a sign it doesn't know what it's doing that far out. However, that is the favored area for end of September and october so we will need to watch for stuff that may pop up in the gulf and the nearshore atlantic waters to round out the season. I think eventually there will be a last gasp pulse of activity in the gulf and/or the Bahamas to Bermuda area to end the season. It'll probably be more of the home grown-type activity in the gulf, or near the Bahamas as fronts come down and stall at the end of September and in October. El nino along with Saharan dust really did its thing on the season this year. The good news is we should make up for it over the winter where it will be much more active. Storm after storm in the heart of winter will keep waves going all season. It just may have a lot of VAS chop conditions that go with it too. Stay tuned.
Tides:
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