WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas.
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
— Steve Weagle (@SteveWeagleWPTV) May 12, 2020
for subtropical development. An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Formation chance through 5 days 50 percent. pic.twitter.com/GhyVScSW7i
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Forecasters say the environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical characteristics as it moves northeastward through Sunday.
The current formation chance for this system through five days is 70%.
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There is some disagreement as to where it will develop, but no models have development impacting Florida directly.
Both the European and American Models still have development occurring late Friday into Saturday morning near the northern Bahamas and then whole thing moving northeast away from Florida by Monday.
So with no direct impact from a subtropical or tropical system the big question for us is how much rainfall will we see here in South Florida. That is the million dollar question, and it's a hard one to answer.
Our rainfall really hinges on where this really begins to develop, if it's closer to Florida we could see more rain Friday into Saturday morning, if it's farther away from Florida, we will see a lot less rainfall.
The Weather Prediction Center currents shows us only getting about 1.25" of rainfall from Friday through early Saturday morning. We are about 7-8 inches below average for rainfall right now. Any rainfall is good news for Florida.
June 1 marks the start of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season.
