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Disturbance in Gulf of Mexico has 20% of tropical formation in next 7 days, National Hurricane Center says

System expected to bring heavy rainfall, gusty winds to South Florida later this week

The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday that a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico has a 20% of tropical development in the next seven days.

A system in the Gulf of Mexico has a 20% chance for tropical formation in the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

By: Scott Sutton

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WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — The National Hurricane Center said Tuesday that a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico has a 20% of tropical development in the next seven days.

The system is expected to meander over the eastern Gulf of Mexico for the next several days. It is then forecast to move across Florida this weekend, bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds to both South and Central Florida.

TRACKING THE TROPICS: Hurricane Center | Hurricane Guide

NHC now gives a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico a 20% chance of development. Something to keep an eye on as it approaches the Florida peninsula this weekend. pic.twitter.com/J2rHpsTctD
— John Gerard (@JGerardWeather) May 30, 2023

Tropical downpours with heavy rain are expected to develop early Wednesday afternoon, according to WPTV First Alert Meteorologist Jennifer Correa. Some storms could become strong to severe.

The disturbance is then forecast to emerge into the southwestern Atlantic Ocean by early next week.