A new low in the Gulf of Mexico has minimal chance of development, but will bring rainfall and winds to the Gulf coast of Texas and Louisiana. It seems to be pretty much stalled there through most of this upcoming workweek.
This second system is entering favorable areas to see tropical development, however it will be some time until anything comes to fruition. There will be more clarity in the days to come as it moves over the islands. In the meantime, we continue to watch the different model runs.
TRACKING THE TROPICS: Hurricane Center | Hurricane Guide
Models show it approaching the windward islands around Tuesday of next week then crossing into the Caribbean Sea most of next week, possibly strengthening by next weekend when it's near Jamaica. No watches or warnings are in effect.
After that, it is too soon to tell where it will go but early model runs put it in the Gulf of Mexico in about 8-9 days.
The third tropical wave we're watching is located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and will generally track westward over the next couple of weeks. This wanes back and forth with tropical development chances. It will be truly dependent if it is able to develop among the plume of Saharan dust pulling off Africa. The NHC is giving it a low chance at the moment.
