There are two areas of interest in the Caribbean that we are watching.
The first is a broad area of low pressure in the SW Caribbean sea with a high chance of tropical development.
The second is just north of Hispaniola with a very low chance of developing as it will likely be absorbed by the energy associated with the stronger wave.
TRACKING THE TROPICS: Hurricane Center | Hurricane Guide
Invest 97L in the Caribbean could become a tropical depression in the next few days.
If the storm is named, it will be called Rafael.
There is a lot of uncertainty with this system, but some models are now coming into better consensus. The wave currently moving NE is expected to turn NW south of Cuba and then eventually move into the Gulf
This disturbance will bring high amounts of rain to parts of Hispaniola and Cuba.
Moisture from the system will increase our rain chances Tuesday into Thursday.
Conditions in the Gulf aren't too favorable for further strengthening due to wind shear and cooler water temperatures.
We will continue to track these two systems .
