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TROPICS: Chance of development for this area increasing

Tropical development 60%, Oct. 31, 2024
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WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — Heading into the last month of hurricane season, there are no signs of the tropics slowing down.

We now have a couple of systems close enough to Florida that we will need to monitor into the weekend.

One disturbance in the southern Caribbean has a medium chance (60%) of developing, and another wave has a low chance. If there is an impact on Florida weather it is about a week away. Computer models have been trending toward something eventually into the Gulf of Mexico.

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"The thinking is that some of this bubbling here, some activity north of Panama, could eventually become a disturbance. Maybe something a little stronger. But there's a lot of disagreement between all the forecast models," WPTV First Alert Weather meteorologist Jennifer Correa said.

Until something forms, we won't know if it will have any potential impacts on South Florida or the state in general.

Tropics, 10%, Oct. 31, 2024
A system near Puerto Rico now has a 10% chance of tropical development.

An area of unsettled weather is producing showers and cloud cover across parts of the Greater Antilles, including Puerto Rico. This system has a 10% chance of development.

"It could track westward and maybe further organize. Or, at least some of the moisture from that will eventually make its way over us early next week," Correa said.

For now, the WPTV First Alert Weather forecast early next week calls for passing showers Monday, scattered showers on Election Day with a 40% chance of rain, and morning showers on Wednesday.